When Are Home Heating Prices Expected to Go Down?

With winter weather hitting hard, homeowners in the U.S. are experiencing the challenge of home heating costs. Recent years have seen a noteworthy rise in energy prices, leaving many looking for answers and relief. Uncover what impacts home heating prices, the recent trends we’ve seen and tips to keep your utility bills in check.

Different Kinds of Home Heating Fuel

A number of fuels are used to heat homes in the United States:

  • Natural gas heats 48% of American homes.
  • Heating oil serves 5% of homes.
  • Propane accounts for another 5%.
  • Electricity warms 40% of U.S. homes. Fossil fuels remain the primary source for making electricity even with the renewed focus on renewable energy sources like wind and solar. 

What Affects the Rates of Fossil Fuels?

Based on the above information, it’s evident that fossil fuels heat a large majority of North American households. Supply and demand is the most significant factor driving price fluctuations. An increase in supply—triggered by higher production and storage rates—generally lowers prices, while a surge in demand—caused by extreme weather, a thriving economy and rising rates for alternative fuels—can cause prices to climb.

Exactly How Much Has the Price of Natural Gas Gone Up?

Domestic natural gas production outpaced consumption starting in 2017, leading to a broad price decline throughout 2018. Unfortunately, demand has surged recently across all sectors, causing natural gas prices to achieve heights not seen in roughly a decade.

In 2022, the average wholesale cost of U.S. natural gas hit its highest point since 2008, hitting an average of $6.45 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). This huge spike represented a tremendous leap of greater than 53% from the previous year, marking it as one of the steepest annual increases on record.

Multiple factors added to the volatile rise and instability of natural gas prices last year. In early 2022, processing hiccups caused by freeze-offs and a significant draw from natural gas reserves nudged prices way up. Robust liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports to Europe and other countries, combined with an increase in domestic demand because of cold weather, stretched the price range even further.

In the spring of 2022, prices jumped past $9/MMBtu, only to drop by 40% following the fire and subsequent closure of the Freeport LNG export terminal. This incident considerably cut U.S. LNG exports and redirected more natural gas toward storage. But, as the summer heat ebbed, prices climbed once more, peaking in late August.

Going into the fall, a boost in natural gas production and higher-than-average injections into storage saw prices retreat closer to the five-year average. However, as temperatures decreased, the demand for heating caused prices to go up again.

When Will the Cost of Home Heating Fuel Go Down?

The changes in natural gas prices underscore the complicated interplay of factors influencing home heating prices. As we look onward to the rest of the 2023-24 heating season, the market’s past behavior offers insights into future price patterns and the possibility of cost-saving measures.

As of late 2023, prices have come down from their previous highs due to robust production and relatively mild temperatures. Even though demand is still steady, forecasters are predicting prices around $3.44/MMBtu this winter, giving some respite for house owners as we move through the heating season.

Ways to Reduce Your Heating Bill

It doesn’t matter how you heat your home or what prices are like, you can take several practical steps to boost energy efficiency and lower your heating costs. Here are some suggestions:

  • Seal drafty windows and doors with caulk and weatherstripping.
  • Use curtains to your advantage, opening them during the day for free light and heat and then drawing them closed each night to insulate your windows.
  • Add more attic insulation to prevent heat from rising out of your home.
  • Invest in a smart thermostat that learns your habits and helps you save money.
  • Reduce the temperature on your thermostat when you’re not home so you don’t pay extra to heat an empty house.
  • Put on warmer clothes indoors so you aren’t forced to crank up the thermostat.
  • Plan seasonal furnace maintenance to keep your heating system in peak condition.
  • Install a whole-house humidifier. Moist air feels warmer than dry air, so you feel more cozy at a lower temperature.

Make Your Home Warm in the U.S. with Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing

Nothing is more important to the Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing team than your comfort and safety. Our heating solutions can also help bring down home heating costs, which is great news for your finances. With ACE-certified technicians at the helm, you can expect fast, durable answers to all your comfort needs. Our 100% satisfaction guarantee means that if you’re not truly happy with our services, you can count on us to make things right.

As a company that prides itself on innovation, customer engagement and community involvement, you can trust Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing to make a positive difference in your life and sense of comfort. For more insights into heating prices in the U.S. or personalized tips to help lower your utility bills, reach out to the professionals at Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing. Call 866-397-3787 today to learn more.

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